Douglas Luiz FPL Points Prediction for 2025/26 Season

Douglas Luiz is primed for an intriguing Fantasy Premier League (FPL) 2025/26 campaign, marking his return to England with Nottingham Forest after a rollercoaster season at Juventus. The Brazilian midfield maestro has proven FPL pedigree from his Aston Villa days and is set to be a tempting budget option for managers looking to maximise squad value with “Douglas Luiz FPL Points” and “Luiz FPL Points” under the spotlight this season.

Douglas Luiz’s Aston Villa FPL Legacy

Before his Juventus move, Luiz built a strong fantasy reputation in the Premier League. In his final three Aston Villa seasons, Luiz posted increasingly impressive stats:

• 2021/22: 2 goals, 3 assists in 34 appearances.
• 2022/23: 6 goals, 6 assists from 37 matches, his best season yet at Villa (12 goal contributions).
• 2023/24: 9 goals, 5 assists over 35 league outings, with a notable uptick in attacking responsibility and set-piece duties, including 4 penalties converted.

If you break those FPL points down based on standard scoring (5 points per goal, 3 per assist, 2 per appearance), Luiz averaged between 110-150 points in each of those campaigns, regularly offering handy returns for his price bracket. In 2023/24, his tally would be approximately 140–155 FPL points, well above most budget midfielders.

What Went Wrong at Juventus?

During his lone season at Juventus, Brazilian midfielder Douglas Luiz faced a series of challenges that derailed his usual FPL-calibre output and limited his impact on the pitch. First and foremost, Luiz struggled with injury disruptions, recurring muscle knocks, and a lingering hamstring issue forced him to miss significant game time throughout the campaign. He registered only 19 Serie A appearances and started just 3 matches, playing a meagre 516 minutes in the league, which drastically reduced both his rhythm and confidence.
Tactically, Juventus rotated systems and managers during the season, never truly finding a setup that matched Luiz’s strengths. He was often utilised in deeper, more defensive midfield roles, cutting him off from attacking opportunities and set-piece responsibilities that previously boosted his FPL returns. As a result, Luiz ended the Serie A season without a single goal or assist, despite decent underlying stats for passing and key passes per 90 minutes.
Additionally, squad competition intensified as Juventus invested in younger midfielders and alternate options, relegating Luiz to rotational and substitute appearances. The constant uncertainty around his starting spot further eroded his form and left him unable to replicate his Premier League reliability. This mixture of injuries, tactical constraints, and fierce competition saw Luiz’s transfer value and reputation dip, ultimately leading to his move to Nottingham Forest for a fresh start, where he could revive his FPL points output.

Douglas Luiz FPL Points Outlook 2025/26

Big question: What will “Douglas Luiz FPL Points” look like this year? At Forest, Luiz will be the heartbeat of the midfield, a role that’s likely to guarantee him consistent starts, involvement in set-pieces (including some penalties), and the chance to express his attacking intent. Forest’s Europa League ambitions should further solidify his playing time.

Predicted Stats for 2025/26

If Forest’s attack clicks and Luiz maintains last season’s form levels, analysts and Fantasy Premier League experts foresee a return to the 130–160 point range for the Brazilian. Here’s a plausible stat line for him:

• Appearances: 34–36 (assuming he stays fit)
• Goals: 6–8
• Assists: 5–7
• Penalties: 2–3

Those numbers translate to:

• Goals: 6 x 5 = 30–8 x 5 = 40 points
• Assists: 5 x 3 = 15–7 x 3 = 21 points
• Appearances: 34 x 2 = 68–36 x 2 = 72 points


That’s roughly 130–155 FPL points, with upside if Forest or Luiz outperform expectations, putting him squarely in mid-priced midfield contention.

FPL Price & Squad Value

Luiz’s FPL price has hovered around the £5.5–£6.5m range in previous seasons, making him attractive for managers needing enablers with genuine point-scoring potential. The expectation is he’ll be listed at £6m, slightly below ultra-premium mids, but above pure rotation picks. For those seeking a balance of budget and upside, “Douglas Luiz FPL Points” could be one of the season’s best value picks if he regains his attacking confidence.

Key Factors for Luiz FPL Points 2025/26

• Role at Forest: Will Luiz command set-pieces and penalties?
• Fixtures: Forest’s opening run should offer attacking opportunities for Luiz to make a quick impact.
• Minutes Played: Historically durable, Luiz has averaged 33+ appearances per year in England and rarely misses time through injury.
• Manager’s System: Forest under Nuno Espirito Santo is expected to play progressive, attacking football, maximising Luiz’s FPL potential.

Luiz FPL Points – Should You Pick Him?

If midfield value is critical, Luiz is more than just a placeholder. He has repeatedly shown the ability to deliver double-digit goal involvements across a league season and is particularly effective in long stretches without injury. Given Forest’s summer investment and European campaign, he looks set to thrive.
It’s not unreasonable to see Luiz surpass 130+ FPL points again, especially with a settled role and renewed confidence. For those who recall his Aston Villa exploits, “Luiz FPL Points” is a bet on consistent returns and periodic match-winning scores.

Don’t Miss Out

Douglas Luiz is an FPL differential who’s proven and hungry. If he resumes penalty, corner, and free-kick duties at Forest, his point ceiling is top 10 among the mid-priced mids. Watch team news, monitor his role, and be ready to strike if he hits the ground running; his blend of attacking and defensive points could be your FPL difference-maker for 2025/26.