Barcelona UCL Knockouts

How Can FC Barcelona Directly Qualify for Champions League Knockouts

Rohan Singh

Modified - Dec 10, 2025, 12:08 AM

3 min

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Summary

Barcelona’s win keeps their dream of direct UCL knockout qualification alive, but they still need strong results and help from other teams to break into the top 8.
Their final position will depend heavily on the last two matches, where earning 12–16 points gives them a real chance, while anything below 12 points sends them to the play-offs.

For FC Barcelona, today’s win against Eintracht Frankfurt was nothing less than a big boost in their UCL journey. Before this match, they were sitting 18th in the league table with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. But after winning their Matchday 6 fixture, they have now climbed to 14th place with 10 points the same as Dortmund, Manchester City, Chelsea and Sporting.

However, fans, including die-hard Culers, are still curious about Barcelona UCL knockout chances without going into the play-offs. Here are the Champions League knockouts qualification scenarios for FC Barcelona explained.

FC Barcelona Direct UCL Knockout Qualification

To bypass the two-legged playoffs and earn a seeded spot in the round of 16, Barcelona must finish in the top 8 in UEFA Champions League. Currently, the top 8 teams hold 13-18 points, with Barcelona 2 points behind 8th-placed teams like Atletico Madrid and PSG. Success depends on their results and stumbles from rivals. Here are three scenarios and what could be the possible outcomes mean to FC Barcelona.

Win Both Remaining Games: This catapults Barcelona to 16 points, likely landing 7th-9th if 4-5 teams on 12-14 points (e.g., Liverpool, Real Madrid) gain more than equal to 3 points total from their last two. Feasible with upsets like Bayern drawing Man United or PSG losing to Benfica. There is a high probability that Barcelona will win their upcoming two matches.

Opponent	Home/Away	Position in UCL Table	GD
Slavia Praha	Away	32nd	-9
FC Copenhagen	Home	29th	-7

Barcelona Upcoming Opponents

Lose Both: If Barcelona stays on 10 points, they will probably finish between 18th and 20th. Reaching the top 8 becomes impossible, so there is a 0% chance of direct qualification. However, they are still very likely to reach the playoffs, with around an 80% chance, because the teams below them (like Frankfurt with 3 points) cannot catch up easily.
Draw Both or Win/Lose One: If Barcelona draw one game, they will move to 11 points, which keeps them in the fight for a top-8 finish. If they draw both games, they will reach 12 points, giving them an even better chance, depending on other teams’ results and If they win one and draw one, they will climb to 14 points, which almost guarantees a top-8 spot and direct qualification. But if they draw one and lose one, they gain only 1 point, finishing on 11 points, which makes direct qualification difficult and keeps them in the play-off zone.