Mercury vs Lynx Preview, Prediction, Injuries, Lineups, Odds & Where to Watch – WNBA 2025 Regular Season (May 30)

The Mercury and Lynx will be facing each other for the first time in this regular season on May 30 at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Both teams have been standing out with their performances this season, with Lynx going undefeated so far this season. The Mercury, on the other hand, have recorded just one loss, and are on par with the reigning Commissioner's Cup champions. Both teams stand first and second in the league standings and this would be an interesting matchup to look forward to.

In this article, we will be discussing the preview, predictions, betting odds, predicted starting lineup, and everything you would need to know ahead of the Mercury vs Lynx regular season showdown.

Mercury vs Lynx Match Preview

Both Mercury and Lynx have been playing amazing hoops to start this season with. While Lynx led by Napheesa Collier have been undefeated in all five games so far, the Mercury have lodged just one defeat, with their record being 4-1 in this regular season. The last time the two teams faced each other was on September 26, 2024, with Minnesota winning the matchup with a score of 101-88.

Out of the 61 matches that the both teams have played against each other, Lynx have lodged 77% of the wins while the Mercury could record only 23% of the wins against the Lynx. On an average, the Mercury this season are outscoring their opponents by 5.8 points per game, scoring 80.4 PPG to rank eight in the league while allowing 74.6 PPG to rank first in the WNBA. They tend to have a +29 scoring differential overall.

On the other hand, the Lynx put up 86.2 point per game, ranking second in the league. They also allow only 77.4 points against them, thus ranking fourth in the league. This matchup could be a tight contest, leading to even an overtime at the most. Here are some of the essential details about this matchup:

Mercury vs Lynx Injury Report

Injuries have always been a matter of concern for any team playing important matchups. Sometimes, when major franchise players get injured, it completely alters teams' playbooks and strategies all throughout. Here are some of the notable injuries for both teams ahead of this matchup.

Mercury Injury Report

On the Mercury's injury report, Murjantu Musa and Monique Akoa Makani are listed on day-to-day status while Natasha Mack and Kahleah Cooper are listed as OUT for the upcoming matchup. Natasha Mack is sideline for 2-3 weeks due to a back injury and Kahleah Cooper recently underwent a successful knee arthroscopy and her return timeline is slated at approximately four to six weeks.

Lynx Injury Report

There is no player listed on Lynx's injury report.

Predicted Lineups

The predicted starting five that both the teams are going to field for this matchup would take into account all the players listed in the injury report, as well as the ones available. As per the recent trends across games, here is how the lineups for both teams may look like-

Mercury Predicted Lineup

The Mercury's predicted lineup for it's starting five may look like as follows:

Lynx Predicted Lineup

The Lynx's predicted lineup for it's starting five may look like as follows:

Mercury vs Lynx Players to Watch

With both teams having significant changes to their lineups due to various circumstances, there are few players who are expected to stand out in this upcoming matchup. Here are some of the players to watch out for ahead of this matchup.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

This season, Satou Sabally has been the biggest surprise as a standout performer. In her past five outings, Sabally has averaged 19.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game. Furthermore, she has been quite efficient with hers scoring, shooting 38.8% from beyond the arc and an effective field goal rate of 44.4%. Defensively, she is averaging 1.6 steals and 0.8 steals so far. As the leading scorer of the Mercury, Sabally is expected to be a standout performer in this matchup against the Lynx.

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Napheesa Collier is one of those stars whose names have been the talk of the league for a while. Averaging 26.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game this season, Collier has already earned her place in the MVP debates for this season. She has been one of the sole catalysts in the Lynx's undefeated run so far, providing with her scoring, as well as defense. On the other end of the floor, she's averaging 2.4 steals, which makes her an efficient two-way forward. Collier is one of the best players to hit parlays with, given her consistency as a performer through this season so far.

Where to Watch Mercury vs Lynx

If you are wondering where to watch the Sun vs Wings matchup, we have got you covered. Here is all the details that you need to know ahead of the matchup:

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction: Who Will Win?

Though Mercury's defense may seem great on paper, it's quite fascinating to note how their last four matchups have been against teams ranking in the bottom half in terms of offensive rating this season. However, facing the Lynx could be a tough test for Phoenix. Mercury's frontcourt (except Satou Sabally) might struggle against the versatile forces of the Lynx. Besides, Minnesota's Courtney Williams can generate efficient midrange shots that can further choke Phoenix for putting too much of their focus on guarding Collier.

Phoenix's playbook might involve a lot of spacing and pace. Mercury has been shooting 34.8% of their triples as a team. However, to gain an edge against the Lynx, they might need to ramp up the number. Lynx's perimeter defense could be an issue for the Mercury shooting from the deep, allowing only 8 threes on an average.

For this matchup, expect Phoenix to mark Collier heavily, owing to her recent scoring performances. However, with reliable secondary options such as Alanna Smith finishing 62.5% from the field and Kayla McBride returning back to option, the Lynx look scary as an opponent for Mercury to overcome.

Prediction

Lynx win by a score line of 80-76, with the Lynx having a 70% probability of winning.

Mercury vs Lynx Betting Odds

The following are the betting odds for the upcoming Mercury vs Lynx matchup: