Sun vs Mercury Prediction: Preview, Betting Odds, Where to Watch and More - June 18

The Sun and Mercury WNBA sides will face off against each other in the 2025 regular season game. The match will be played at the Mohegan Sun Arena on June 18. This will be their first meeting in the 2025 season, with the teams facing each other 53 times in past. The Connecticut Sun had been dominating in their previous meetings, winning 32 games. Recently, the Sun have won five games in a row against the Mercury side, ending Phoenix’s two-game winning run in the matchups. The margin of victory highlights the dominance of the Sun franchise, averaging +18 in that winning run. In this article, we will go through the Sun vs Mercury prediction with game preview and players to watch
But the scenario is completely different in 2025, with the Mercury side looking in control at the moment. The Phoenix franchise ranks fourth in the WNBA 2025 standings with an 8-4 record, while the Connecticut Sun has won just 2 games out of the opening 10 games. Offensively, the Mercury team has performed better with 79 points per game, while the Connecticut Mercury scored 71 points per game and stands last in the offensive ratings. Check Sun vs Mercury preview with betting odds, players to watch, and everything you would need to know ahead of the Commissioner’s Cup match-up between Sun and Mercury.

Sun vs Mercury Match Preview

The Phoenix Mercury, despite losing key players after the 2024 season, are on a great run of form at the moment. The three-time WNBA Champions are once again cruising towards the postseason with nearly 25% of games already completed. Even though they rank ninth in the league in scoring, their defensive stability allows them to stay competitive in the league.
Connecticut Sun, on the other hand, is in a rebuilding phase and still searching for the perfect flair for the wins. A few incredible performances ignited an encouraging run, but the team was not able to convert the momentum into wins. The side stands last in the offensive game plan, and defensively also they are struggling to stop the opposition. Their net rating is -22, which is the worst in the league after completing a month in the 2025 season. Check out the Sun vs Mercury match details below,

Sun vs Mercury Prediction: Who will win?

Connecticut Sun’s struggles put them in a difficult situation at the moment, and their opponents, the Phoenix Mercury, have managed to outclass a few of the top teams. The Mercury team is the heavy favorite to win the game against the Sun in the current scenario, with no major injury news for the side. Return of Kahleah Copper has also boosted the side’s chances to continue their winning run at the moment.
Moreover, the strong and experienced forward lineup of the Mercury team could be a key factor in the game. The Connecticut side is heavily reliant on Marina Marbrey, who could find it difficult to post up against Mercury’s top-tier forwards.

Prediction

The Mercury is expected to win the game. As per the prediction, it might be a blowout game with the Mercury even looking to give their stars some rest. The scoreline is expected to be 83-70 in favor of the Phoenix Mercury.

Sun vs Mercury Betting Odds

Considering the injury considerations and previous performances from both teams, the Sun vs Mercury betting odds are as follow,
• Spread: Sun +4.5
• Moneyline: Mercury -125, Sun +150
• Total Points: Over/Under 156.5 (-115)
The Mercury team will be pleased with the rest before the game and while the Sun team will enter the game following visit to Indiana. The Moneyline here means you need to bet $125 on the Mercury to win $100.

Sun vs Mercury Players to Watch

Historically, the Sun and Mercury teams had some of the top players on their rosters, allowing them to compete in the league. In 2025, both sides have made major changes to restructure their roster and have flexibility for future picks. While the Sun team has a familiar leader, the Mercury side will look to their new star, acquired in 2025. Check out players to watch during the Sun vs Mercury game on June 18.

Marina Mabrey (Connecticut Sun)

Marina Mabrey is one of the experienced stars retained by the Sun franchise, and she has been their driving force this season. With her excellent passing and scoring ability, the 28-year-old star has been a constant threat to Sun’s opponents. The guard is leading the side in assists and scoring, providing much-needed offensive fire to the game. She even played at the forward position in recent games, highlighting her versatility on the court. Marina powered a win over the Atlanta Dream with a 34-point performance, single-handedly carrying the side to the victory.

Satou Sabally (Phoenix Mercury)

Ever since Satou Sabally joined the Mercury team, she has taken the leadership role in the absence of Kahleah Copper. The guard was Mercury’s leading scorer from last season, and her return will only benefit Satou in spacing and passes. With her experience and chemistry with Alysha Thomas, Sabally has dominated the paint region.
She is the team’s top performer in points, assists, steals and rebounds. She has performed in every game and averages 20.6 points, 7.9 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 2.9 assists in 12 games. In terms of on-court performance, Satou has maintained above 40% field goal percentage along with above 28% beyond the three-point line shooting.

Where to Watch Sun vs Mercury

The Sun vs Mercury match-up will be the fixture of two teams with multiple new faces on the roster.The US-based fans can go with the WNBA League Pass option if they love to watch the game on streaming. It is a streaming platform with a 7-day free trial service, and then they provide a subscription-based model to continue the service.

The UK fans can enjoy the basketball action on Sky Sports Network, but it is also a paid service for UK citizens. It comes as a package from the cable service provider. WNBA League Pass is also a great option for international fans in search of high-quality streaming.