AUS vs SA Match Prediction: Who Will Win the South Africa tour of Australia 2025 3rd ODI?

The South Africa tour of Australia 2025 is now heading towards its final game, as in the 3rd ODI of the series, we will witness a clash between Australia (AUS) and South Africa (SA). The match will take place at the Great Barrier Reef Arena, Mackay. Indian fans can catch the live action from 10:00 AM IST on Sunday, August 24.

South Africa is in full control of the series as they currently lead 2-0 in the three-match ODI series. They have already sealed the series with two dominant wins over the hosts. In the 1st ODI, South Africa defeated Australia by 98 runs, while in the 2nd ODI, they repeated their brilliance and won by 84 runs. On the other hand, Australia will look to avoid a clean sweep and finish the series on a positive note in front of their home crowd.

Australia vs South Africa Match Details

AUS vs SA Head-to-Head Record

• Since the beginning of their recent encounters, both teams have faced each other 10 times, where South Africa has the upper hand as they have won 7 of their clashes, while on the other hand, Australia have won just 3 matches, with one game being abandoned due to rain, which makes their head-to-head record 3-7.
• The numbers clearly show that South Africa is at the lead, so they will most probably try to continue their domination against Australia in this AUS vs SA Head-to-Head record.

AUS vs SA Pitch Report & Weather Conditions

The Great Barrier Reef Arena pitch report and weather will play a major role in deciding this game. The weather is expected to be clear, while the pitch is known to be good for batting, which indicates a potentially high-scoring contest.

Balanced Wicket

According to the Mackay pitch report, the surface offers a fair contest between bat and ball. Batters can score freely once they settle in, but there is also some assistance for fast bowlers with the new ball. Teams batting first have generally enjoyed more success at this venue, which is reflected in the higher win percentage for sides setting a target.

Chasing Factor

While chasing is possible at Mackay, the average second-innings score is notably lower than the first, which suggests that defending a total can be easier if bowlers use the conditions well. Spinners may come into play during the middle overs, creating additional challenges for teams batting second.

Average 1st Innings Score

In ODIs at this venue, the average first-innings score is 277, while the average second-innings score drops to 193. The highest total recorded here is 277/10 by South Africa against Australia, whereas the lowest is 193/10 by Australia against South Africa.

Chasing Record

When it comes to ODIs at the Great Barrier Reef Arena in Mackay, chasing a target can be challenging, as the pitch generally favours teams batting first. In the only ODI played here between Australia and South Africa, the team batting first won the match, which makes the toss an important factor in this upcoming clash.

Weather Report

Conditions are expected to be clear for this game, providing ideal conditions for cricket. Players can expect comfortable playing conditions, while fans can enjoy the match without any interruptions.

AUS vs SA Match Prediction & Playing 11s (Predicted)

Both teams have dynamic batters and quality bowlers, who can influence the game single-handedly with their all-round performances, as per our AUS vs SA Match Prediction. Let’s take a look at the probable playing 11s for this clash.

Australia Probable Playing 11

Mitchell Marsh (c), Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Josh Inglis (wk), Alex Carey, Aaron Hardie, Xavier Bartlett, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood

South Africa Probable Playing 11

Ryan Rickelton (wk), Aiden Markram (c), Tony de Zorzi, Matthew Breetzke, Tristan Stubbs, Dewald Brevis, Wiaan Mulder, Keshav Maharaj, Senuran Muthusamy, Nandre Burger, Lungi Ngidi

Form and Fitness

Australia Recent Form (latest first): L, L, L, D, W

South Africa Recent Form (latest first): W, W, L, W, W

AUS vs SA Recent Form (Last 5 Matches)

Both teams have had mixed performances in their recent games, with South Africa showing stronger consistency, while Australia have struggled to find form in crucial matches according to our AUS vs SA Match Prediction.

Australia

Australia have struggled in their last five matches, losing three matches, while two games were abandoned. In the series so far, they lost the 1st ODI by 98 runs and the 2nd ODI by 84 runs to South Africa, which puts them under pressure heading into the final ODI.

South Africa

South Africa has been in better form, winning three of their last five matches, losing one, with one match abandoned. They dominated Australia in the first two ODIs of this series and are coming into the 3rd ODI with confidence.

AUS vs SA Toss Prediction

Considering the pitch conditions at Mackay and past results at this venue, the captain winning the toss might prefer to bat first, as teams batting first have historically done better here. We predict that Australia will win the toss and opt to bowl, giving South Africa the advantage to set a target.

AUS vs SA Score Prediction

• Scenario 1: Australia batting first

If Australia bats first, they are likely to score around 240–250 runs, given the batting-friendly surface, but recent poor form.

• Scenario 2: South Africa batting first

If South Africa bats first, they are expected to post a total of 270–280 runs, considering their strong batting lineup and dominance in the first two ODIs.

AUS vs SA Players to Perform Prediction

There are several players in both teams who can have a major impact on the result. Mitchell Marsh, Matthew Breetzke, Lungi Ngidi, and Adam Zampa are all capable of producing match-winning performances. These will be the key players to watch according to our AUS vs SA Match Prediction. Let’s look at five players from both teams who can emerge as the best performers of this match.

Australia

• One of the best all-rounders in the world, Mitchell Marsh is the captain and one of the key batters for Australia. He has scored 106 runs in 2 innings, showing his ability to anchor the innings and accelerate when needed.
• Josh Inglis is the wicket-keeper batter for Australia, scoring 92 runs in 2 innings, and can provide quick runs in the middle order.
• Adam Zampa has been the standout bowler for Australia with 4 wickets in 2 innings, capable of breaking partnerships in crucial moments.
• One of the best openers in the world, Travis Head, has contributed with both bat and ball, picking up 4 wickets in 2 innings while also stabilising the batting.

South Africa

• Matthew Breetzke has been the top run-scorer for South Africa with 145 runs in 2 innings, including crucial knocks at the top of the order.
• Aiden Markram is another all-rounder to watch, scoring 82 runs in 2 innings and capable of bowling key overs.
• Tristan Stubbs has scored 74 runs in 2 innings and can change the course of the game with his aggressive batting.
• Lungi Ngidi is the leading wicket-taker for South Africa with 7 wickets in 2 innings, making him a top pick for this game.
• Keshav Maharaj has been consistent with the ball, taking 5 wickets in 2 innings, and can control the middle overs effectively.

AUS vs SA Best Batter Prediction

• Who will score the most runs for Australia in the match: Mitchell Marsh and Josh Inglis
• Who will score the most runs for South Africa in the match: Matthew Breetzke and Aiden Markram

AUS vs SA Best Bowler Prediction

• Who will pick the most wickets for Australia in the match: Adam Zampa and Travis Head
• Who will pick the most wickets for South Africa in the match: Lungi Ngidi and Keshav Maharaj

Disclaimer: The prediction is based on the author’s understanding, analysis, and instinct. While making your prediction, consider the points mentioned, and make your own decision