Aces vs Mercury Prediction: Preview, Betting Odds, Where to Watch and More – June 15

The Aces and Mercury will face off in the Commissioner’s Cup 2025 on June 15, 2025. The exciting game will be played at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. This will be their second meeting in the 2025 season, with Aces escaping with a narrow win in the preseason game. Even though the Las Vegas franchise is filled with a number of stars, the side is struggling to gain momentum in the league and stands sixth in the league with five wins in nine games. On the other hand, the Phoenix Mercury, with a number of new faces on the roster, has managed to stay strong in the playoff contention with seven wins in 11 games.
Talking about the Commissioner’s Cup form, the Mercury side is third in the West with three wins and a 0.5 points differential. The Aces are sixth in that standing with a 50%-win record in four games played. Sadly, the 2022 champions have a hefty -26 points differential at the moment, making it difficult for them to advance in the competition. In this article, we will be discussing the Mystics vs Dream prediction with betting odds, players to watch, and everything you would need to know ahead of the Commissioner’s Cup match-up between Aces and Mercury.

Aces vs Mercury Match Preview

Historically, Aces and Mercury are multi-time WNBA Champions. Mercury won it thrice with Diana Taurasi and co leading the side while the Aces have emerged as a superpower with the addition of generational talent A'ja Wilson. The side made it to the three finals in the last five seasons, winning two times in that period. Aja Wilson made her mark with three regular-season MVP awards and one finals MVP award. But things are different in 2025.
The Aces have struggled so far, looking to exert their dominance in the league. Though Wilson is prolific with her gameplay, the combined efforts fell short on multiple occasions. In contrast, the Mercury team, rebuilt with trades and drafts, have fared well this season. They have a superstar in Satou Sabally, who is leading the side on both ends of the floor and has won seven games out of 11. Offensively, Aces average 82 points per game this season, while the Mercury team is averaging 80 points. The Phoenix side is strong defensively, allowing them to keep pressure on the opponents. Check out the Aces vs Mercury match details below,

Aces vs Mercury Prediction: Who will win?

The Mercury side looks like a solid opponent against any side at the moment. The Aces haven’t looked sharp lately, especially on the defensive end. That’s not ideal with a dangerous opponent like the Mercury coming up. While Phoenix has had its own struggles, they’re still a team that knows how to capitalize on small mistakes. But don't count out the Aces. They recently stunned the Wings Plus they also lead the league in scoring and shooting as well. That comeback win, without Aja Wilson, will boost their confidence, and they are expected to be more clinical against the Mercury side again.

Prediction

The Aces team is expected to win the game. As per the prediction, it might be a high-scoring affair with a scoreline of 92-88 in favor of the Las Vegas Aces.

Aces vs Mercury Betting Odds

Considering the injury considerations and previous performances from both teams, the Aces vs Mercury betting odds are as follows,
• Spread: Mercury +2.5
• Moneyline: Mercury +110, Aces -130
• Total Points: Over/Under 179.5 (-110)
It will be a close game for the Aces, yet Jacki Young and Jewell Loyd proved to be the difference makers in the game. They could make the game ‘more’ difficult for the Mercury side. The Moneyline here means you need to bet $130 on the Aces to win $100.

Aces vs Mercury Players to Watch

The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury have already made major changes in their roster. The Mercury side underwent complete transformation, letting go of their stars in the free agency and adding players via trades, while the Aces let go of their prime guard, Kelsey Plum and added Loyd as a replacement. The teams might have new faces on the roster, but few familiar faces are expected to impact the game. Check out players to watch during the Aces vs Mercury Commissioner’s Cup Game on June 15.

Aja Wilson (Las Vegas Aces)

As of now, A'ja Wilson had missed the game against the Dallas Wings due to concussion protocol but she is expected to be part of the game against the Mercury. The head injury sustained in the game against the Los Angeles Sparks on June 11 while she was rushing to the bucket. Even against the Sparks, with just 28 minutes of playing time, Wilson tallied 13 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. Moreover, the reigning MVP has continued her stellar form, leading her side in multiple stats. Moreover, she also recorded 2 steals and 4 blocks. This season, Wilson has a stat line of 20.9 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 4 assists in eight games. She is even leading the side in blocks and steals in 2025. As a veteran, A'ja is a lethal player in clutch moments, with her ability to score and even defend without fouling.

Satou Sabally (Phoenix Mercury)

Satou Sabally has taken the sole command of the Mercury this season. Similar to Wilson, Sabally is the team’s top performer in points, assists, steals and rebounds. She has performed in every game and averages 20.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 2.9 assists in 11 games. In terms of on-court performance, Satou has maintained above 40% field goal percentage along with above 27% beyond the three-point line shooting.

Where to Watch Aces vs Mercury

The Aces vs Mercury game is expected to be a close contest, with fans looking to get all the live action from available broadcasters such as Vegas 34 and AZFamily. With the increased popularity of the league, the WNBA has formed multiple partnerships, allowing fans to enjoy the live action online also. Plus you can also catch the game on WNBA League Pass which has free 7-day trial. Even if you are not a big fan of subscriptions, you can watch the highlights on the same platform for free. Check out where to watch the Aces vs Mercury WNBA Commissioner’s Cup game live below: