Lynx vs Mercury Preview, Prediction, Injuries, Lineups, Odds & Where to Watch – WNBA 2025 (June 3)

The Lynx and Mercury will face each other on June 3, 2025. The exciting game will be played at the Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota. This will be their second meeting in the season, with the Lynx recording a narrow win on May 30 at the Footprint Center, ending the Phoenix Mercury’s 4-game winning run at home. The Lynx side is undefeated so far in the season, topping the Western Conference standings with a 7-0 record. The Phoenix Mercury stands second in the conference with a 5-2 record. With form of reigning Commissioner’s Cup Champions, they are a team to watch at the moment, but the Phoenix Mercury certainly have proved their mettle in the season so far.

In this article, we will be discussing the preview, predictions, betting odds, predicted starting lineup, and everything you would need to know ahead of the Lynx vs Mercury Commissioner’s Cup matchup.

Mercury vs Lynx Match Preview

Both Mercury and Lynx have provided some exciting games so far in their matchups. The games have been close, even though the Lynx managed to escape with narrow wins. In their last eight meetings, the Lynx have won eight times, with only two losses coming at the Footprint Arena in Phoenix. In 2025, both teams have been outstanding on the court, providing fast-paced basketball. The last time the two teams faced each other was on May 30, 2025, with Minnesota winning the matchup with a score of 74-71.

Out of the 97 matches that both teams have played against each other, Lynx have secured 59 wins while the Mercury secured 38 wins. The Lynx have been dominating the matchups since 2016, winning all the season series against the Mercury team with 26 wins out of 31 games played.

Offensively, both sides are very strong, with the Lynx are averaging 84.4 points in seven games played, outscoring the opponents by 8.3 points in the process. This puts them in fifth position in the league standings for the points scored in the season. The Mercury side ranks ninth in the list with a 79.7 points average in the league.

Despite their low scoring average, the Mercury side has lodged +4.4 overall stats, behind their strong defensive gameplay. The matchup between the Lynx and Mercury would be a close contest once again. Here are some of the essential details about this matchup:

Lynx vs Mercury Injury Report

WNBA teams, with just 12 roster spots, have always found it difficult to cope with injuries. Injury to a franchise player or leading scorer puts a burden on the side in terms of filling in for the points and minutes. Here are some of the notable injuries for both teams ahead of this matchup.

Lynx Injury Report

As per the current injury updates, there is no player sidelined due to injury for the Minnesota Lynx. Napheesa Collier missed the previous game against the Mercury due to injury, but she is fit to play in the June 3 game. She even played the team’s recent match against the Valkyries on June 1.

Mercury Injury Report

The Mercury team will be without their 2024 leading scorer, Kahleah Copper. The guard underwent a successful left knee arthroscopy on May 18, and her timetable for return is approximately four to six weeks. Natasha Mack and Alyssa Thomas are listed as day-to-day but expected to play in the game against the Lynx on June 3.

Predicted Lineups

The predicted starting five that both teams are going to field for this matchup would take into account all the players listed in the injury report, as well as the ones available. As per the recent trends across games, here is how the lineups for both teams may look like-

Lynx Predicted Lineup

The predicted lineup for the Lynx against the Mercury could be as follows

Mercury Predicted Lineup

The predicted lineup for the Mercury against the Lynx could be as follows

Mercury vs Lynx Players to Watch

The Phoenix Mercury underwent a major overhaul post-WNBA 2024 season, with their core pieces making moves in the free agency and even with Diana Taurasi announcing retirement. The Lynx have also added a few pieces to their roster to strengthen the 2025 squad. Here are some of the players to watch out for ahead of the Lynx vs Mercury matchup.

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

The 2024 WNBA regular season MVP runner-up is in blistering form in the 2025 season. Napheesa Collier is leading the team in scoring with a 26.3 points average in six games played. She also averages 8.3 rebounds and 2.3 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game. Leading the league in scoring and ranked in the top 10 for the rebounds, blocks and steals, Collier has already earned her place in the MVP discussions this season. Her consistency as a performer through this season so far has been very impressive, and the former UConn star looks determined to make her mark in the league.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

In the new look forward line for the Mercury side, Satou Sabally has been the top performer. In six games played, Sabally has averaged 20.8 points, 8 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. The former Dallas Wings star settled in the Mercury system seamlessly and is currently leading the side in scoring, rebounds and steals. With 41% accuracy from the field, she is a constant threat to the opposition. Defensively, she is averaging 1.8 steals and 0.8 blocks so far. Alongside Alyssa Thomas, the 27-year-old star has formed a great forward pairing and is expected to make a game difficult for the Lynx.

Where to Watch Lynx vs Mercury

If you are wondering where to watch the Lynx vs Mercury matchup, we have got you covered. Here are all the details that you need to know ahead of the matchup:

Lynx vs Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win?

Even though the Minnesota Lynx have played against the lower-ranked sides so far in the WNBA 2025 season, they have defeated two playoff contender teams, including the Mercury. More impressively, their win against Mercury came without the team’s scoring leader, Napheesa Collier. Kayla McBride, returning to the side, stepped up for the Lynx with a team-high 20 points. Allana Smith was another efficient scorer for the side with 53.3% accuracy from the field.

Inclusion of Collier in the lineup will provide a massive boost to the 2024 WNBA finalists. The Mercury team, on the other hand, will now need to rethink their strategy against the loaded squad. Even with the inclusion of Thomas, who missed the recent game against the Sparks, the Phoenix-based franchise might struggle to counter the Lynx's multidimensional attack.

The side will be heavily dependent on its forwards to deliver on the game, getting some stops in the process. Interestingly, the Mercury team nearly matches the Lynx in rebounds and has more three-point attempts and blocks this season than their counterparts. They could look to exploit the Lynx on similar grounds, but Cheryl Reeve’s side looks scary as an opponent this season.

Prediction

Lynx win by a score line of 84-74, with the Lynx having a 70% probability of winning.

Lynx vs Mercury Betting Odds

The following are the betting odds for the upcoming Lynx vs Mercury matchup: