Mercury vs Wings Prediction: Preview, Betting Odds, Where to Watch and More - June 11

The Mercury and Wings are ready for another heated matchup in the WNBA 2025 Commissioner's Cup. It is a do-or-die chance for the Wings; otherwise, the team will crumble under its own performance pressure. If it were a matchup without injuries like Kahleah Cooper and Alyssa Thomas, the Phoenix Mercury would not have a thrilling game ahead. However, the balance can tilt on either side, and only Satou holds the Mercury team with her double-digit scoring. Even the Dallas Wings have a star like Arike Ogunbowale, but the team is not contributing the exact same way as their opponent is glued together. So let's delve deep into the Mercury vs Wings preview, prediction, and betting odds for the June 11 showdown.

Mercury vs Wings Match Preview

The Mercury and Wings will face off in a WNBA Commissioner's Cup showdown on Tuesday, June 11, 2025. The game will take place at the Phoenix Arena in Arizona. The host needs this win for a morale boost amid looming tensions regarding the one injury report after another. This season, the Mercury won seven games at home. Out of these fixtures, they have won five games at home. So the home dominance factor is already present for the Phoenix franchise.

The Wings do not hold such an upper hand. Rather, the team is yearning for a big win in the upcoming game to get their spirits back. Here are the details regarding the upcoming Wednesday night matchup.

Mercury vs Wings Prediction: Who Will Win?

It is a battle between the underdogs, Wings, and the table-top performers, the Mercury. Both sides might seem equal due to the injury concerns that the teams are showing. However, consistency is the key here, and if the Mercury continues to go with the flow, they have the upper hand. Satou Sabally is not letting her team down, even when the starting lineup of the team had its ups and downs. She tallied 22 points in the latest game.

On the other hand, the only morale booster for the Wings is their veteran leader, Arike Ogunbowale. Paige Bueckers is set to return to WNBA action after she cleared the concussion. But for the last 4 matches they were without their new star. So, only Nai on the squad has helped the team defensively. She tallied 7 rebounds in the previous fixture against the Lynx, but it was not fruitful in terms of the scoring output. Due to shuffling starting lineups, the Wings have not achieved a decisive win so far.

Prediction

Mercury are expected to win the game. As per the prediction, it might be a scoring affair with a scoreline of (Wings)72-75(Mercury).

Mercury vs Wings Betting Odds

Considering the injury considerations and previous performances from both teams, the following betting odds can be presented for the upcoming game:

• Spread: Wings +2.5

• Moneyline: Wings +115, Mercury -135

• Total Points: Over/Under 167.5 (-110)

It will be a close game for the Mercury. But Sabally and the team have to put up a fight to keep their pride as the second spot holders in the Western Conference rankings. They have not won a single game in the previous five games. The moneyline here means you need to bet $135 on the Mercury to win $100.

Mercury vs Wings Players to Watch

The Mercury is the best contender with their starting lineup. However, it is not in its best form due to the absence of Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper. Now, the only fighting contender on their team is Satou Sabally. The Wings might be the least successful in the Western Conference, but Arike Ogunbowale is the sole consistent performer in the league. Here are more details about the players that the Mercury and Wings need to watch out for in the upcoming game.

Satou Sabally (Phoenix Mercury)

Satou Sabally has taken the sole command of the Mercury this season. She has performed in every game and tallied 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 6 assists in the previous game against the Seattle Storm on June 7, 2025. So far this season, Satou has averaged 20.5 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 3 assists in ten games. In terms of on-court performance, Satou has maintained above 39.9% field goal percentage along with above 25% beyond the three-point line shooting.

Arike Ogunbowale (Dallas Wings)

Arike Ogunbowale proves her experience in such crucial times, even when the team is at a loss. The Wings have not won a single game in the last five outings. Even against a top-tier team like the Minnesota Lynx, Arike tallied 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 6 assists. This season in 10 games, she has averaged 16.3 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists. Her clutch game is on par with any player on the court.

Last season in 2024, she dished out 22.2 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.1 assists in the 38 games that she played. Overall, she maintained a 38.3% field goal percentage and a 34.6% outside the arc shooting.

Where to Watch Mercury vs Wings

It would have been a one-sided match if the Mercury had not suffered so many injury blows. However, despite the fact that the Wings are at the bottom of the Western Conference, the wounded Mercury might crumble. That's why it is a close-call game, and US fans can watch it on the WNBA League Pass. It is available on a 7-day free trial, but after 7 days, fans have to go with a subscription fee. On the other hand, if you want to watch the game for free, you can go with the after-game highlights through WNBA League Pass.

Along with streaming options, the fans also have the option to watch the game on local TV channels. For example, the Phoenix fans can enjoy the game through regional networks like Arizona's Family 3TV and Arizona's Family Sports. Along with it, the Dallas fans can also go with the KFAA network. For fans in the UK, the game will be broadcast around 12:00 AM BST on Sky Sports Arena and via the WNBA League Pass.

Using a VPN can help fans access streams or platforms not available in their country by changing their virtual location. However, please do it with caution after confirming that using such means is not illegal in your region.

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