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How Can Team India Reach the WTC 2027 Final After Losing to South Africa?

5 min
team india wtc final 2027 qualification scenario

The World Test Championship 2025 Final is now more competitive after India's 30-run defeat to South Africa in the IND vs SA 1st Test, but qualifying is still very much in the balance. Making the most of the points from the remaining games is crucial. To keep their points percentage high, India needs to win the majority of their next home and away Test matches and stay away from more losses. It will be important to dominate home series, win at least one road game, and avoid draws. India will also depend on the loss of points by other teams, such as Pakistan, England, and Australia. India can yet contend for a WTC final 2027 spot with steady performances and successful outcomes elsewhere.

Team India WTC Final 2027 Qualification Scenario

India's margin of error is tightening when it comes to qualification for the WTC Finals. After their recent defeat against South Africa, India will have to be extra careful in the upcoming matches. As per the competition's format, only the top two teams will qualify for the Finals. Australia have gotten a good start to their campaign after winning three back-to-back matches. They have currently occupied the top position in the points table.

So far, India are in the third position with four wins in eight matches. This loss might not look huge now but it surely has the power to stop India from qualifying for the WTC finals. After the South Africa series, India will play their Test series in Sri Lanka and New Zealand, and it will not be easy. The Lankan Lions are already in the second position with a brilliant performance in their previous match, while New Zealand have been in great touch. Meanwhile, away wins have historically been one of the biggest differentiators in the WTC, and India will need to find ways to win in foreign conditions, especially in New Zealand, where bounce, movement, and swing are quite common. In away matches, every drawn or lost match will hurt India’s qualification chances significantly because their PCT could fall behind other teams, even if they win more matches overall.

So far, India are in the third position with four wins in eight matches. This loss might not look huge now but it surely has the power to stop India from qualifying for the WTC finals. After the South Africa series, India will play their Test series in Sri Lanka and New Zealand, and it will not be easy. The Lankan Lions are already in the second position with a brilliant performance in their previous match, while New Zealand have been in great touch. Meanwhile, away wins have historically been one of the biggest differentiators in the WTC, and India will need to find ways to win in foreign conditions, especially in New Zealand, where bounce, movement, and swing are quite common. In away matches, every drawn or lost match will hurt India’s qualification chances significantly because their PCT could fall behind other teams, even if they win more matches overall.
Hence, every Test match session, every Test, and every series will now carry extra weight. If we look at the qualifications scenario, it is pretty much simple. The Men in Blue will have to win all of their upcoming matches and then wait for other teams to lose. India are also likely to play against Australia in a home series in early 2027, which might prove beneficial for them. Winning that series could give India a huge boost in the rankings, but Australia’s strength in red-ball cricket means this series will be anything but easy.

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WTC Points Table - Updated

Team India will have to make many changes to their current team. This loss against South Africa was nothing less than careless gameplay from the management. With the pitch favouring the pace bowlers, India went in to play four spinners, dropping one batter. Moreover, injuries have also been a huge concern for India. After Rishabh Pant returned from injury, now captain Shubman Gill, sustained a neck sprain during the match. Everything is a huge factor when it comes to the qualifications for the WTC finals. After this loss, the fans will have to wait and see what changes are made to the playing XI for the upcoming match.

Here’s the updated WTC 2025 points table

TeamMWLTDN/RPTPCTFormNext Series
1. Australia33000036100.00W • W • Wvs ENG
2. Sri Lanka2100101666.67D • W
3. India8430105261.90D • W • W • W • Lvs SA
4. Pakistan2110001250.00W • Lvs ENG
5. South Africa3210002450.00L • W • Wvs IND
6. England5220102643.33W • L • W • D • Lvs AUS
7. Bangladesh201010416.67D • L
8. West Indies50500000.00L • L • L • L • Lvs NZ
9. New Zealandvs WI

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can India still qualify for the WTC 2025 Final after losing to South Africa?

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Yes, India can still qualify. They need to win most of their remaining Test matches to maintain a strong points percentage.

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