Wolves vs Aston Villa Prediction: Form, Injuries & Lineups for Friday's West Midlands Derby

Our Wolves vs Aston Villa prediction leans firmly towards the visitors, as third-placed Aston Villa descend on a Molineux side that remains rooted to the foot of the Premier League table, separated by a herculean 17-point gap from safety with just ten games remaining.

Wolves vs Aston Villa Match Details

Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Competition: Premier League 2025-26
Kick-off: 8 PM GMT, 27th February, 2026
How to Watch: Sky Sports / Sky Go app
Score Prediction: Wolves 1–3 Aston Villa

Current League Form

The gulf in league standings tells much of the story ahead of this West Midlands derby. Aston Villa sit third in the Premier League, three points clear of fourth-placed Manchester United, as Unai Emery's side pursues Champions League football for a second successive season. However, it has not been entirely smooth sailing for Villa of late. They have managed just one victory from their last four league outings, and only one win across their last five games in all competitions.

Wolves, managed by Rob Edwards, face a near-impossible fight for survival. They sit bottom of the division, 17 points adrift of 17th-placed Nottingham Forest. Alarmingly, Wolves have conceded the first goal in 22 different Premier League games this season, which is more than any other side in the division. It underlines the defensive fragility that has defined their campaign. No Wolves player has scored more than twice in the league this term, marking the latest any team has reached that unwanted milestone in Premier League history.

Head-to-Head Records

Despite the desperate league context, the hosts can draw some comfort from Wolves vs Aston Villa head-to-head record at Molineux. Edwards' side have won four of their last six Premier League home games against Aston Villa and remain unbeaten in this fixture at Molineux since a 1-0 defeat in December 2020. The most recent meeting between the two clubs came in early November, when Boubacar Kamara's goal sealed a narrow 1-0 Villa win.

Wolves vs Aston Villa Injury & Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers are expected to name a relatively settled lineup under Edwards, with no major new injury concerns emerging in the build-up to kick-off. The Wolves vs Aston Villa injury picture is more troublesome on the Villa side.

Unai Emery is set to be without three key players for this derby as John McGinn, Youri Tielemans and Boubacar Kamara all remain sidelined, depriving Villa of significant quality and experience in the middle of the park. Despite those absences, Villa's attacking depth, headlined by Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers, ensures they retain plenty of threat.

Wolves vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Wolves Predicted XI: Sa; Mosquera, S. Bueno, Toti; Tchatchoua, Bellegarde, André, H. Bueno; A. Gomes, Armstrong, Mané

Aston Villa Predicted XI: To be confirmed. (Emery expected to make up to two changes from their last outing, with cover required in central midfield due to the injury absentees)

Tactical Context

The Wolves vs Aston Villa team news shapes the tactical outlook considerably. Villa's midfield injuries open a potential avenue for Wolves to press higher and disrupt the visitors' rhythm. It's something Edwards' side have rarely been able to do this season. Naturally, Villa's third-best away record in the division (22 points from 13 games) serves as a sobering counterpoint to any Wolves optimism.

Villa will look to exploit Wolves' well-documented vulnerability from set pieces and early pressure, aiming to land the first blow.

Odds & Prediction

The bookmakers offer little encouragement for the hosts. Aston Villa are odds-on favourites at around 10/11 to 17/20 across major platforms, with Wolves available at 3/1 for the home win. A draw is priced at 5/2.

Given Villa's superior quality across the pitch, their strong away record, and Wolves' inability to keep clean sheets or manufacture consistent attacking output, the verdict here is clear. A home goal keeps the scoreline respectable, but Villa's class should ultimately tell.

Score Prediction: Wolves 1-3 Aston Villa